Wildfires Down, But Risk Continues

The number of U.S. wildfires this year is below average.
Wildfires Down, But Risk Continues
October 22, 2019

A report from brokerage Guy Carpenter reveals that the number of U.S. wildfires this year is below average, following abundant spring moisture and below-average temperatures across western states. The number of fires so far this year is less than any other year in the past decade excluding 2013, and the area burned is “on par with the average.” But large fire potential is expected to persist in California until December.

Most weather models agree there will be average to slightly above-average Santa Ana wind activity this season. August and September were abnormally dry in California. Guy Carpenter says, “Despite the wet spring and early summer, finer fuels have dried out in late summer and are quite receptive to fire across most of the state.”

The combined precipitation and temperature outlook moving into October indicates an increasing, although not extreme, risk for fall season wildfire for California, the report says.


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